The Discerning Texan
All that is necessary for evil to triumph, is for good men to do nothing.
-- Edmund Burke
-- Edmund Burke
Sunday, September 02, 2007
Iran in the Cross-hairs?
The disturbing announcement today from Iran that it had 3,000 uranium centrifuges in-service (enough to make a bomb within one year), was an intended provocation to the United States, Europe, and everyone else who has been attempting to get Iran to curtail it's nuclear ambitions. At the moment, serious observers of the Iranian situation like Victor Davis Hanson are advising caution, at least when it comes to directly attacking Iran--for the time being, anyway--as that is always an alternative which can be taken later. But there are signs that something is in the works--and I am not just talking about the shoddy "journalism" of The Daily Kos.
Allah has put together a set of likely scenarios, and the one which comes up golden every time is... (drum roll) blockade. As we have said before--a blockade could increase the chance of an implosion of the Iranian regime without necessarily leading to overt hostilities. And if Iran were to initiate those hostilities--well, then there is no question as to what America and the Western world's response must be.
In the wake of what happened with North Korea--and our under-estimation of how long before they would have a bomb, one doubts that President Bush is merely going to sit back for a year until the #1 sponsor of terrorism in the world get nukes. Personally, I agree with Dan Riehl's take--at least when it comes to taking some kind of action, like a blockade of Iranian shipping in and out of the Straits of Hormuz:
Allah has put together a set of likely scenarios, and the one which comes up golden every time is... (drum roll) blockade. As we have said before--a blockade could increase the chance of an implosion of the Iranian regime without necessarily leading to overt hostilities. And if Iran were to initiate those hostilities--well, then there is no question as to what America and the Western world's response must be.
In the wake of what happened with North Korea--and our under-estimation of how long before they would have a bomb, one doubts that President Bush is merely going to sit back for a year until the #1 sponsor of terrorism in the world get nukes. Personally, I agree with Dan Riehl's take--at least when it comes to taking some kind of action, like a blockade of Iranian shipping in and out of the Straits of Hormuz:
I strongly believe Bush will hit them before he leaves office. As for the grave threat from Iran because of the Straits of Hormuz and world commerce? It reminds me of all the talk about how hard it was going to be to defeat Saddam's army. The major military conflict that might ensue shouldn't be the big worry. It won't be that major. We probably could run the table with them in about three days. It's the Geo-politics afterward that are going to matter. And I wouldn't worry too much of increased terrorism, either. The people that want to hit us already want to do that as effectively as they can. Hitting Iran is not going to change that one way or the other. If anything, it'll take some money out of their pockets and that isn't a bad thing.Don't be surprised if something dramatic happens soon.
Labels: Iran, Islamic Fascism, Military Strategy, Nuclear, Terrorism
